Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (2024)

Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (1)Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (2)Getty Images

In our series of letters from African journalists, novelist and journalist Adaobi Tricia Nwaubani considers the greatest challenge facing Nigeria as Africa's most populous nation marks 60 years of independence from the UK.

Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (3)Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (4)

How to keep a multitude of ethnic groups united and satisfied? This was the greatest hurdle Nigeria faced in the first decade of its independence - and continues to be the case 60 years later.

Heated national conversations usually revolve around which ethnic group gets what, when, and how. Or how fairly a person from one group was treated compared to one from another.

A major policy to promote systemic equality was launched by the Nigerian government almost four decades ago, but it has led to further balkanisation and bitterness.

Nigeria is home to more than 300 ethnic groups and three dominant ones: the Igbo in the south-east, the Yoruba in the south-west, and the Hausa in the north.

These groups were separate entities before the British merged them into one country that today operate as a federal system - with power concentrated at the centre and distributed among the 36 states and the capital, Abuja.

Struggles for power at the centre or concerns about unfair treatment have at different times led to pogroms, protests and violent conflict, including the civil war of 1967 to 1970, sparked by an attempt by the Igbo to secede and form a new nation called Biafra.

To foster inclusion, the "federal character principle" was enshrined in Nigeria's 1979 constitution.

It includes a provision for public institutions to reflect the "linguistic, ethnic, religious and geographic diversity of Nigeria".

At first, this seemed to appease all sections of the country.

Educational divide

But, today, it is one of the most contentious government policies, with many Nigerians complaining that it has done more damage to our country than good.

Local newspapers regularly feature headlines such as: "Federal Character a curse to Nigeria" or "Group calls for an end to Federal Character".

Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (5)Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (6)

For starters, "federal character" was not accompanied by any strategy to end the vast educational inequality that has always existed between Nigeria's majority Muslim north and mainly Christian south.

This disparity is the result of a complex combination of factors, such as religion, culture, past colonial policies and, more recently, the Islamist militant Boko Haram insurgency.

Nigeria has 13 million out-of-school children, the highest in the world, according to Unicef, and more than 69% of them are in the north.

As a result, the region has Nigeria's lowest literacy rates, with some states recording just 8%.

Yet, this same region must still fill its quota in public institutions - quite a massive chunk since it has a population of 90 million out of Nigeria's 200 million, and 19 of 36 states, plus Abuja, totalling 20.

"Regrettably, 'federal character' has become a euphemism for recruiting unqualified people into the public service," said Ike Ekweremadu, a former deputy president of Nigeria's senate.

"These employees decrease productivity, weaken our public service, and ultimately render it inefficient."

These unqualified can easily rise above their more qualified colleagues, as "federal character" is also applied when filling senior positions in public institutions.

In addition, rivalry between ethnic groups often leads people to lift as many of their kinsmen as they can once they find themselves in a position to do so.

Northerners have ruled the country for 38 out of Nigeria's 60 years of independence, mostly via military coups.

I have listened to many Nigerians tell bitter stories of working hard without reward while some colleagues simply lounged their way to promotion because their kinsman was in power.

Thanks to "federal character", ethnic solidarity and striving to be in positions of authority tend to take pre-eminence over self-improvement and excellence.

Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (9)Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (10)

Almost every year, livid social media posts, newspaper columns and parliamentary debates follow the publication of cut-off marks for the exams which determine who gets into Nigeria's top government-run secondary schools.

Students from some states in northern Nigeria sometimes require scores as low as two out of 200 to be admitted, compared to students from states in the south who need scores of at least 139.

'Best team fielded'

Merit and excellence are often sacrificed for diversity when appointing heads of government ministries, as "federal character" also makes it mandatory for each state to have a representative in the president's cabinet.

Many of Nigeria's best brains never get the opportunity to move their country forward with their knowledge and skill ignored because there is a large pool of talent in their state.

Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (11)Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (12)Getty Images

When Nigeria won the U-17 World Cup for the fifth time in 2015, critics of "federal character" were quick to point out the lack of diversity in the national team.

Nigeria simply went to the tournament with her best.

Prior to the match, the national coach, Emmanuel Amuneke, was criticised for apparently populating the team with players from his south-east region.

Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (13)Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (14)

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He was forced to explain that he had simply chosen what he considered the best, without paying attention to their place of origin.

Some Nigerians argue that "federal character" is indispensable to national unity and simply needs some tweaking to work.

Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (17)Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (18)

Qualified people exist in every region and just need to be searched out.

After all, some of Nigeria's globally acknowledged top brains in many fields are from the educationally disadvantaged north.

"I believe we should have Nigerians from all over the country in public office," said Lamido Sanusi, a former central bank governor and emir of Kano in the north, who in March was deposed by his state government under controversial circumstances.

"But all those Nigerians must be people that are competent. There must be a merit test, a competence test."

Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (19)Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (20)

Power politics in Nigeria:

  • I October 1960: Nigeria gains independence, followed by two coups in 1966
  • 1967: Three eastern states secede, sparking three-year Biafra civil war
  • 1979: Elections bring to power Shehu Shagari, who was ousted after four years - and a series of coups and military governments followed
  • 1993: The military annuls elections when preliminary results show victory for Moshood Abiola
  • 1999: Democracy returns a year after the death of military ruler Gen Sani Abacha
  • 2015: Muhammadu Buhari becomes first opposition figure to win a presidential election since 1960

Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (21)Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (22)

President Muhammadu Buhari has been frequently vilified even by opponents of "federal character", for appearing to abandon this policy.

"I don't have a problem with any part of Nigeria but I have a problem with the way government is directing its appointments," said Mr Ekweremadu during a fiery session in parliament in 2018.

At present, 17 out of Nigeria's 20 service chiefs appointed by Mr Buhari are from his northern region, while 16 are Muslim like him.

And 15 out of 21 serving assistant inspectors general of police are from the north, while 16 are Muslim.

In defence of his boss, presidential spokesperson Garba Shehu told me: "Are you going to give your command positions in the military to people you don't trust?"

Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (23)Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (24)Getty Images

Former President Olusegun Obasanjo, once a supporter of Mr Buhari, recently accused him of "mismanaging diversity" and being responsible for a Nigeria that is today more divided than at any previous time in the country's history.

Nobel laureate and writer Wole Soyinka shared a similar view last month, making reference to "a culture of sectarian privilege and will to dominate".

However, Mr Buhari's spokesperson pointed out that previous administrations also faced the same accusation.

"When you are not on seat [in office], you always see the wrongdoing of others," Mr Shehu said.

"When Obasanjo was in position, he was also accused of appointing people from the south-west."

Some radical groups in the south now believe that the only solution is for Nigeria to split, with each major ethnic region becoming a country of its own.

Some politicians and pundits prefer "restructuring" with each region having more autonomy, which would keep Nigeria united but significantly reduce power at the centre.

Whatever resolution Nigeria eventually takes as it enters its 70th decade of independence, one thing is certain: the country's future depends on how successfully coming governments can maintain unity in diversity.

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Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united? (2024)

FAQs

Will Nigeria become the most populated country? ›

Projected to reach a population of 401.3 million by 2050, Nigeria will rank third after India (1st) and China (2nd). According to Institut national d'études démographiques' projections, Nigeria, Ethiopia, DR Congo, Egypt, Tanzania, and Kenya will be among the world's top 20 most populous countries by 2050.

Why does Nigeria have the highest population in Africa? ›

The growth of Nigeria's population is spurred on by early marriages, high birth rates, and a lack of access to family planning clinics.

What happened in 1960 in Nigeria? ›

On 1 October 1960, Nigeria was granted full independence from Great Britain. The country received its Freedom Charter, on 1 October 1960, from Princess Alexandra of Kent, the Queen's representative at the Nigerian independence ceremonies.

Why is Nigeria one of the most important countries in Africa? ›

Nigeria is the most important country politically and economically in West Africa. It is richer than all other West African nations and holds considerable power. Nigeria's most important export is oil, more than half of which is shipped to the United States.

What makes Nigeria so populated? ›

Pop. ±% p.a. Nigeria's population has been increasing rapidly for at least the last 5 decades due to very high birth rates, quadrupling its population during this time. Growth was fastest in the 1980s, after child mortality dropped rapidly.

Why is Nigeria's population growing so fast? ›

Nigeria population is increasing mostly due to the effect of the first factor, that is, high birth rate. For instance, Crude Birth Rate (CBR) was 39.0 and 44.6 in 1990 and 1991 respectively (NPC, 2000). It was 42.0 in 2003 (NDHS, 2003). All these buttress the fact that there is high CBR in Nigeria.

What are the three reasons for high population in Nigeria? ›

According to Fan and Besong (2010), the factors that were responsible to the population explosion in Nigeria were high birth rate, low death rate and immigration.

Is Nigeria more populated than USA? ›

Latest data (July 1, 2020) from the U.S. Census Bureau put Nigeria's population at 214 million while China and the United States are 1.4 billion and 330 million respectively.

Why is Nigeria the richest country in Africa? ›

Nigeria: As the most populous country in Africa, Nigeria has a diversified economy, particularly in the oil and gas sectors. South Africa: South Africa has a diversified economy with sectors such as mining, agriculture, and services.

Why is Nigeria called the giant of Africa? ›

Referred to as the “Giant of Africa,” Nigeria is the most populous country on the continent with more than 60 percent of its population under 25 years of age. Nigeria has one of the largest economies in Africa and a population of an estimated 190 million people – all of which represents tremendous potential.

What was the original name of Nigeria? ›

"Before the name 'Nigeria' emerged, the British had taken control of Lagos and the southern coast. The Royal Niger Company had control of the region around the river which was generally referred to as the 'Royal Niger Company Territories'."

How old is Nigeria currently? ›

Modern Nigeria dates from 1914, when the British Protectorates of Northern and Southern Nigeria were joined. The country became independent on October 1, 1960, and in 1963 adopted a republican constitution but elected to stay a member of the Commonwealth.

Why is Nigeria so important to the world? ›

What is the regional importance of Nigeria? Nigeria has the fastest-growing economy in Africa and the highest GNP on the continent. Nigeria has the largest population on the continent and the third-largest manufacturing sector. The country also has the largest agricultural output and the highest number of cattle.

What is Nigeria best known for in Africa? ›

Nigeria boasts of the largest economy in Africa. It is projected to rank among the world's top ten economies by 2050. Nigeria has an abundance of resources including oil and gas. The Country holds the largest natural gas reserves on the continent, and is Africa's largest oil and gas producer.

Is Nigeria Africa most populous country? ›

African Countries by population (2024)
#Country (or dependency)Population (2024)
1Nigeria232,679,478
2Ethiopia132,059,767
3Egypt116,538,258
4DR Congo109,276,265
36 more rows

What will Nigeria's population be in 2050? ›

Forecast population in Nigeria 2025-2050

Demographic projections show that the Nigerian population might experience a constant increase in the next decades. By 2050, it is forecast that the population will grow to over 377 million people compared to 2022.

What will be the most populated country in 2050? ›

Future: Most Populous Countries in 2050
#CountryPopulation (2050)
1India1,679,589,259
2China1,260,289,093
3United States380,846,910
4Pakistan371,863,793
16 more rows

Will Nigeria have 1 billion population? ›

Nigeria is presently with a population of more than 180 million with an annual growth rate of about 3.2% If it continues with the present slow pace of development and inadequate infrastructural/social ammenties, It will difficult to handle a massive population of 1 billion in the next 95 years.

Is Nigeria the most populated country in the world? ›

Nigeria is the most populous country in Africa and the 7th most populous country in the world.

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